The Colorado Avalanche Information Center (CAIC) has begun issuing its forecasts for the winter season, advising caution for anyone traveling in the High Country over the coming days. The state-run center announced a forecast that runs from Thursday through the weekend, warning that avalanche hazards are “developing on steep, snow-covered slopes” as a storm rolls through Colorado. This warning is particularly relevant for Grand Junction area residents, commuters from Fruita and Palisade, and the outdoor crowd who frequently access the state's mountainous terrain for recreation.
According to the CAIC forecast, nearly every fall, small avalanches catch eager snow riders, late-season hikers, and hunters off guard. The center advises that if individuals are traveling through the High Country over the next few days, they should exercise caution on steep, snow-covered terrain. Avalanches pose a continuous risk in the backcountry throughout the winter, and Colorado consistently leads the nation for avalanche-related fatalities most winters.
This weekend's forecast specifically warns of several types of avalanche hazards. Rain falling on existing snow could result in loose wet avalanches, which form when wet, unconsolidated slush picks up snow as it moves downhill due to its water content. As new snow accumulates, the forecast states there is the potential for dry slab avalanches, where a cohesive slab of new snow breaks and slides overtop the existing snow layer. Additionally, loose dry avalanches, or sluff, where unconsolidated snow near the surface releases, are also a possibility.
Avalanche officials emphasize that while early-season avalanches generally contain less snow and are less likely to bury a person, small slides can still have consequential outcomes. This risk is particularly high in steep, rocky terrain that is not yet fully covered by snow. The forecast center explicitly recommends that those heading into the High Country this weekend choose lower-angle routes and go around steep, snow-covered slopes, particularly where drifts are deep enough to cover the ground. They further cautioned, as stated in the forecast, that "Even small avalanches can carry you into rocks."
Experts advise recreationists to educate themselves on the avalanche risk before heading out. This includes planning ahead and carrying the proper gear, such as a transceiver, probe, and shovel, whenever traveling in the backcountry. Understanding the conditions and being equipped for potential incidents are crucial steps for personal safety.
Starting November 1, the Colorado Avalanche Information Center will transition to providing daily avalanche forecasts. These forecasts will be available online and can be used by backcountry skiers and snowboarders, as well as professionals, to assess and manage risk throughout the winter season. Residents are encouraged to utilize these resources to stay informed about conditions in the High Country.
